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Odds of Donald Trump winning? Betting on the future U.S. president


President Donald Trump's Senate impeachment trial has entered its second week and a new report suggests that former national security adviser John Bolton should be called as a witness. In a leak of a soon-to-be-released book, Bolton wrote President Trump was holding Ukraine aid in exchange for information of his political rivals.

President Trump Impeachment Trial Archives. For just the third time in American history, the president of the United States has been impeached after the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives voted to charge President Donald Trump with abuse of power and for obstruction of Congress. Trump Impeachment Betting Odds Odds Shark Will Donald Trump be impeached during his first term as President of the United States?

Here's what bookmakers think There is money to be made! somogymegye.us Other News, Gaming and Bonus Codes below somogymegye.us. The Trump Impeachment Odds on the Betfair Exchange are the best way to see what the public believes will happen to Trump as President. Learn how to bet on these odds and to spot the value.

BACK YES Will Trump be Impeached in his Term. LAY Trump Presidential Election Republican Nominee. Trump will be impeached betting market 94.

Biggest bet on odds The chances of impeachment skyrocked to 94, you now can win 10 if you bet Odds are Biggest bet on Trump to be impeached so far from UK. Total wagered on the market mln USD. Trump will win next US elections odds and chances 43. The popular betting website PredictIt on Tuesday saw its odds of President Donald Trump's impeachment in the House soar as high as against The bet is made against a single dollar, leading PredictIt's market to forecast a 62 likelihood that Trump will be impeached in the House.

PredictIt's official rules outline the bet as the House of Representatives passing at least one article of impeachment against Trump during his first term. The site doesn't require a trial or a conviction in the Senate for the betting market to reach a "yes" conclusion. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is set to announce an official impeachment inquiry on Tuesday after months of pressure, multiple news outlets reported. The odds are currently at that Trump is impeached in Impeachment aside, odds are at against Trump's survival of a full first term, Paddy Power spokesman Lee Price said.

We’ve been betting on impeachment for all recent US presidents but, even at the height of the Lewinsky scandal, Bill Clinton was only ever to be impeached, Price said, as cited by somogymegye.us Clinton, of course, ultimately was impeached, though he survived trial and finished his presidency.

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Political betting markets are pricing in the increasing likelihood that President Trump not only survives impeachment, but prevails over his Democratic challenger next year. "With the Ukraine scandal coming to a head, President Trump is currently 99 likely to be impeached today according to our market, according to Sarbjit Bakhshi, Head of Political Markets at Smarkets.

However, with a Republican-loaded Senate, trading activity on our exchange suggests he has an 83 chance to serve his full term, he added. The odds of Trump getting impeached are currently 12 - meaning a bet pays 50 - and the betting line has moved significantly since the whole Ukraine saga was thrust into the national conversation.

Since the whistleblower came out and Nancy Pelosi started the impeachment inquiry, the betting line shifted from even to 12.

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That kinda shift is due to the fact tons of people started betting Trump WILL get impeached. Trump's presidential pics Launch Gallery. Oddsmakers tell us the current betting line is the lowest it's been at any point since Trump was swor. Betting on Trump’s possible impeachment began shortly after his November election victory. But the scuttlebutt was underway well before Trump even officially became the GOP’s nominee.

As far back as April, constitutional scholars, pundits and even several members of Congress were speculating that his fiery rhetoric and unorthodox style might lead to impeachable offenses as president. We’re currently offering 4-to-1 for Trump to be impeached in the first six months.

Trump’s upset victory cost Paddy Power nearly 5 million after the betting house paid out bets on Democrat Hillary Clinton, thinking a string of negative news stories about Trump would end his chances of winning. Traders are betting President Donald Trump will become the third president in American history to be impeached.

"The odds can change after literally a phrase or a tweet. To investors, it's potentially hugely valuable," said Flip Pidot, senior market analyst at PredictIt. The impeachment fight has dramatically ramped up activity on PredictIt. Hundreds of thousands of trades are made daily in the most active impeachment market, up from tens of thousands per day prior to the recent scandal. "We've seen quite an uptick," Pidot said.

Traders on PredictIt can buy shares for or against an event taking place. Those shares can then be traded, ideally by selling them for a.

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Odds SharkVerified account OddsShark 24 Jul Follow Follow OddsShark. Following Following OddsShark. A year ago, I put on the yes - Will Trump complete a full term as President. Bet paid + Patiently waiting for January to roll around.

No way he gets 67 votes to get removed from office. After testimonies given during the Donald Trump impeachment hearings, betting odds strongly favor impeachment of the US President.

President Trump is now priced at to be impeached at the European exchange Betfair. That moneyline wager means you’d need to bet to win The No odds are +, meaning a bet wins you Crowd-sourced platform Smarkets is pricing a similar outcome. Will the House of Representatives pass articles of impeachment against Trump during his first term is at nearly 83. President Trump US presidential election odds.

Even though Trump’s impeachment seems likely, he’s still the favorite to be re-elected.

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Big bet placed on star becoming President. Donald Trump odds-on to hold firm and serve a full term. President still fancied to go the distance. Donald Trump impeachment odds hold steady despite Jr revelations.

Donald Trump Evens to be impeached during first term in White House. Republican enters Oval Office next week.

WATCH We count down Ireland’s Top 10 betting surprises of. The odds that President Trump will be impeached by the end of the year doubled on a prominent betting site following reports of a whistleblower complaint about Trump's call with Ukraine. Odds of Trump impeachment double on betting site. By Marty Johnson - 092419 PM EDT. The chances of Donald Trump being impeached or resigning without completing his first term as President have more than doubled since he was elected, according to one bookmaker.

When Mr Trump was named as President-elect in November, the odds of him not making it through the full four-year term were 31 with Ladbrokes. Now, following a chaotic three weeks, the odds have. When Mr Trump was named as President-elect in November, the odds of him not making it through the full four-year term were 31 with Ladbrokes. Now, following a chaotic three weeks, the odds have shortened to just 11 Download the new Independent Premium app.

Sharing the full story, not just the headlines.

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Trump to Hannity Democrats 'fight a dirtier fight' Full Interview - Fox News 3. Gutfeld For Trump-obsessed media, it's all bad all the time - Fox News 1. Betting markets put the odds of a Trump impeachment or resignation at around 48.

February 12, By Gwynn Guilford. Trump-focused online bets span both low- and high-brow speculations. Paddy Power, for instance, lets you wager on whether the Supreme Court will reinstate Trump’s travel ban a 75 chance it won’tas well as whether Golden Shower footage [will] appear on RedTube 20 odds. While politics betting is usually an election-focused affair, the drama and unpredictability of Trump’s tenure have brought out the creativity of online gambling sites.

It’s also brought in business.

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From a betting perspective, Donald Trump’s presidency has triggered a massive boom for these kinds of markets, said Alex.

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Online betting site Paddy Power is offering odds as low as that Trump will be impeached in his first term. That’s cut in half from before his inauguration, when they stood at, Fast Company reports. SEE ALSO Trump’s Muslim Ban could have doomed Apple.

If you think Trump will be impeached in the first six months of his presidency, meanwhile, the site is offering odds. For, it’s They lengthen ever year right up to for an impeachment in The divisive president’s removal from office is not the only thing gamblers can bet on at Paddy Power. Donald Trump’s latest controversy has sent his impeachment odds soaring among bettors in the online prediction markets.

To be sure, the Democratic-led House has yet to begin proceedings and Pelosi has been reluctant in the past to endorse impeachment. Still, she acknowledged the House may be at a turning point with Trump’s refusal to allow Congress to see a whistle-blower’s complaint on the Ukraine matter.

The previous high in the past three months was 20 cents on June That was the night of the first Democratic presidential debate, which saw former Texas Representative Beto O’Rourke call for impeachment proceedings to begin. PredictIt is similar to a stock market. Shares are bought and sold at prices up to. As more and more Democrats come out in support of launching an impeachment inquiry, the betting odds of it happening have increased, as well. Bloomberg reports that PredictIt, a prediction market for political and financial events, is now giving President Trump a 42 percent chance of being impeached by the end of the year in light of allegations that he pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden's son in exchange for military aid.

Yes, that's still below 50 percent, but it's more than double the market's previous high, wh Biden can defeat Trump, O'Rourke continued, because he is "the antithesis of Donald Trump.

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The gambling website Ladbrokes has the odds of Trump either being impeached or resigning before the completion of his term at even, and has half odds that he will not be reelected in Additionally, the betting site Paddy Power currently has 4-to-1 odds that Trump will "cease to be president" in, and half odds that Trump will not finish his first term.

The site is also offering a 2-to-1 odds that Trump will be impeached. SkyBet is posting 7-to-1 odds that Trump will not be president as of July of this year, and is slightly more optimistic than other sites that Trump will com. Trump Impeachment odds - Find out what your best bets are, as well as how to profit off cheap bets during this period of uncertainty. Four years analysing the betting around Donald Trump has frequently involved speculating whether, how and when this incredible story will end.

My last update predicted a terrible autumn for the President, beset by multiple investigations, resulting in impeachment by the House of Representatives.

As we watch that process play out, could this be the finale, or merely another cliffhanger ahead of the next series? Democrats not only have ample evidence to impeach Trump, but also the political space to do so.

Polls show up to 70 of Americans believe the White House guilty of wrongdoing over Ukraine and up to 51 want Trump removed from office.

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Those updated odds mean that if you bet that Trump would be impeached, you would win should he be impeached.

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Oddsmakers still consider it more likely the the president won't be impeached. You'd have to bet on his nonimpeachment to win, according to the Bovada odds.

Pelosi also said that evidence produced by special counsel Robert Mueller would have to be conclusive to make impeachment a possibility. Others have urged House Democrats to pursue impeachment proceedings against Trump, including Democratic billionaire Tom Steyer.

"If you look at last night and you look at the popular vote, there was a referendum on the President, and he got crushed," Steyer told CNN on Wednesday. Trump’s impeachment isn’t the only bet out there.

A Donald Trump Specials section of the Paddy Power site includes bets on where he’ll make his first state visit Odds are it’s either Russia or Canada. Will his third marriage make it through the end of the year? Odds are Although Trump has vigorously denied the unsavory reports, the betting site says the odds a tape will pop up on RedTube are Sticking to that theme, there are also odds on whether Trump will decide to paint the entire White House gold While gambling odds typically always favor the house, the house isn’t always right.

PaddyPower called the presidential race for Hillary Clinton and wound up paying out close to 5 million to those who put their money on Trump.

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While the betting odds favor Trump being impeached, they don't favor his being removed. And he still leads other candidates in election odds. Trump Impeachment Betting Odds Jump, But So Do His Re-Election Odds.

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Share on Facebook Share on Flipboard Share via E-mail. After Donald Trump Jr's Russia emails, betting site PaddyPower has upped their odds of President Donald Trump's impeachment. President Trump Impeachment Odds at Bovada Donald Trump is not worried that he might get impeached, however, the Republican Party has a narrow majority with 51 seats in the US Senate.

The Trump impeachment odds Vegas proved this to be a longshot at the beginning but since November, the odds of this to become reality have been shortened. The Trump impeachment odds today show that he is + likely to be impeached and to finish his mandate. Only two US presidents have been impeached so far throughout the history of the USA but there are many Review Overview. Will Trump Be Impeached in His First Term? Yes No + In previous articles, I’ve mostly discussed the impeachment hearings with respect to how they’ll ultimately impact betting on the presidential election.

If the fifth Democratic debate was any indication, we’re going to be hearing a lot more about Ukraine and the impeachment investigation, regardless of what Congress ultimately decides to do with President Trump. However, that approach might not be as effective as Americans on the left might hope. As expected, peoples’ reactions to the two weeks of testimonies are mostly divided along party lines.

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Ladbrokes odds on Trump impeachment or leaving office early 40 percent. Ladbrokes combines the question of Trump being impeached and leaving office early which are not necessarily the same thing to give even chances of America having a different president earlier than expected.

As of late May, Ladbrokes bettors are offering a 64 bet on Trump leaving office via impeachment or resignation before his first term, or a 40 percent probability. However, the bettors also say there is 47 odds, or a percent probability, that he will serve out his first term. They are also offering 25 odds, or. The odds offered for Trump to not be impeached are even money.

The political prediction market PredictIt, meanwhile, saw the price of Trump’s first term impeachment increase to, according to Newsweek.

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Federal prosecutors have directly linked President Trump to campaign finance felonies related to hush money payments made to women the President had affairs with prior to the election. President Trump’s longtime attorney, Michael Cohen, admitted in his plea deal with prosecutors to engineering the payments on behalf of the President, and later in the week the publisher of the National. A man who may soon get his wish.

Photo Scott EisenGetty Images. Donald Trump’s remarkable ability to persevere in the face of seemingly ruinous scandal may be at risk this week, as the uproar over his firing of James Comey gets louder by the day. Now, with the revelation that Trump directly asked Comey to end the probe of Mike Flynn and that Comey documented this request in a memo, the president’s chances of being impeached are surging on betting markets.

On the New Zealandbased PredictIt, Trump’s odds of impeachment hit 30 percent Tuesday night after news of Comey’s memo broke. Betting Opportunity 1 The Year That Donald Trump Gets Impeached.

The time is ticking for Trump, he will either last till, or gets impeached very, very soon. What do you think will happen? If so, the question is till when? Using this event, you can take a guess and put your money where your mouth is.

As Trump would say it, this is a YUGE opportunity to make some good income if you stand to be corrected. The least you can earn is your bet, and by these PaddyPower odds, this is the year that has the highest chance of shaking TRUMP.

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Per the Houston Press, Irish betting website Paddy Power is now putting odds on Trump getting impeached within the first six months of his presidency. Additionally, the website thinks it’s even more likely that Trump will not finish his first term, as it gives him just odds of completing four years in the White House. Other popular Trump-related bets on Paddy Power right now include video of his golden shower incident leaking onto RedTube odds splitting with wife Melania Trump odds and painting the entire White House gold odds.

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somogymegye.us’s Steven Shepard has compiled an interesting list of the various odds available, with Ladbrokes PR manager Donohue being quoted as saying "With such little political experience and a rocky start in the White House, it’s understandable people have their doubts on Trump, adding We’re currently offering 4-to-1 for Trump to be impeached in the first six months.

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New betting odds show a 5050 chance Trump will be impeached before the end of his first term. While gambling odds are surely no predictive science, the British company Ladbrokes offered a slate of Donald Trump Specials that, by the end of the week, saw impeachment odds rise to 11 Other Donald Trump bets included him visiting Russia within the year, not being re-elected in, and not even being inaugurated for which the odds are 61.

Angelia Wilson, a professor of politics at the University of Manchester, also believes Trump will be impeached within the first 12 to 18 months of his pr.

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It isn’t easy to forecast Trump’s odds of impeachment, or of his removal from office. There isn’t enough data to build a statistical model of it, in the way we would for an election. So long as these sides are pulling with roughly equal force, Trump isn’t going to be removed from office, which would require a two-thirds majority in the Senate.

But if something snaps if Republicans have reason to think Trump has become a liability even in red states look out. For this reason, it’s not clear whether the various betting markets would classify the invocation of the Amendment as Trump having left office prematurely. If you’re inclined to put money down on these things, it’s probably a good idea to check the fine print of the contract.

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Gambling odds offered by the betting site Paddy Power indicate people believe it’s more likely than not US President Donald Trump will be impeached during his first term in office.

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The betting company lists odds on different "Donald Trump Specials," including whether he will visit Russia before the end of 52 and if Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize 161. Back in, when Trump won the election, the site had his odds of impeachment at 31. President Donald Trump's odds of being impeached at 11. The money is showing no signs of slowing down and we’ve been forced to cut Trump’s impeachment odds accordingly.

We’ve taken five times the amount of bets on him failing to see out his full t.

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Bookmaker Ladbrokes has cut the odds on Donald Trump leaving office early due to impeachment or resignation amid mounting controversy about how he will manage his business interests after becoming America’s President. Ladbrokes opened the market at, cutting it to, and again to in the wake of a flurry of bets on the back of a growing consensus among law professors that the controversial Republican is heading for trouble.

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The odds are part of a group of "Donald Trump Specials" offered by Ladbrokes, including a bet that he won't be reelected in and a bet that he'll visit Russia by the end of the year. Now, gambling odds aren't exactly reliable predictive science - they're pretty far from it, in a lot of cases - but there's lots of reason to think that a bet against Trump finishing his first term is a pretty good bet.

Since the original odds went up, Ladbrokes has added a new suite of bets. Gamblers can now wager on which year Trump will leave office. For Trump to actually be impeached, the highly Republican House of Representatives would have to initiate the process.

Here are some of the reasons why they could, perhaps, impeach Trump.

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Trump Impeachment Betting Odds. In the elections, although the Democrats won back a majority in the House, the Republicans were able to retain their control of the Senate. The House is directly responsible for an impeachment inquiry, while the Senate gets to convict or acquit the President of impeachment. Below you can find the betting odds of Trump being impeached before the end of his first term, as of June 27, Will Donald Trump Be Impeached Before The End Of His Term?.

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People are demanding odds to bet on Donald Trump being assassinated. Bookies such as Paddy Power and William Hill are refusing to give a price on Trump being killed. It's obvious, really would you want to be the bookmaker known for offering odds on someone being murdered?

It doesn't matter who it is, or how unpopular they are, it's pretty appalling taste. And it would be terrible marketing. Paddy Power has Trump to be impeached in his first term at 31, and 74 to not complete his first term in office.

Chubbadingo Hi, we don't take bets on people dying. Impeachment is 51 and him to resign before end of first term is 118. William Hill Help WillHillHelp January 21, This article was first published on January 23.

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The odds of Donald Trump being impeached have dropped and it isn’t looking good for ole’ Donnie Walnuts.

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The odds on Mr Trump being impeached have shortened as punters reacted to the explosive claims, according to bookmaker Betfair. The chances of the US President being impeached are now 21. The odds of impeachment are 41 in, 51 in, 161 in and 181 in Betfair spokeswoman Katie Baylis yesterday said Overnight we’ve seen more than bet on Trump to leave before the end of his first term and we expect to see a lot more bet today, with his odds now shortening from evens into 56.

And many punters think it won’t be too long before he departs, with the odds of him leaving.

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The actual betting odds that President Donald Trump will be impeached in his first term in office are now higher ever before. Online Irish casino website Paddy Power has been creating betting markets on Trump since he was elected. The types of markets vary from how many times Trump will tweet in a week to who will be the next member of the Trump administration to resign or be fired. The most popular Trump market, and the one with the least yield at the moment, is Will Trump be impeached in his first term?

Currently the odds for betting Yes is 54. The odds of him being impeached in is 21.

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Trump is just eight days away from being sworn into office as the President of the United States. Yet even as Inauguration Day draws closer, the billionaire businessman continues to be a lightning rod for controversy as he skirts conventional presidential protocol in a manner that confounds ally and foe alike. His behavior before and after the November election has led some to joke, or actually believe, that Trump doesn't want to be president, and that he would prefer a return to running his business and promoting his brands.

A Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday sh.

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Several online betting sites soon boxed off unique Donald Trump Specials’ to offer punts on his approach to domestic policy, his relationship with Mexico, and even his family relations. During this time, allegations of collusion with Russia were touted as a conspiracy theory by many Democrats. To impeach the President, a vote will have to be passed by the House and Senate. Republicans currently have a majority of seats in both houses, and Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell has made his career in obstructing every Democratic policy that passed through his doors.

Apparently, most of the people think that he will be impeached this year odds, in his first term odds and will be impeached for treason or perjury or tax evasion or bribery.

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Political betting emerged as an intriguing and revealing way to monitor attitudes and make predictions in the wake of the polling that proved to be less-than-predictive during the primaries and the election. The thinking is that analyzing gambling habits is ostensibly more reliable than looking at polling data, because people are more likely to reveal their heart-held beliefs when money is involved. Paddy Power is offering two to one odds that Trump is impeached in his first term.

Paddy Power also puts the chances of a impeachment at four to one. While it's important to remember that political betting markets are not always correct in predictions, followers of gambling did warn that Brexit would pass.

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Originally posted by CB New Betting Odds on Trump Impeachment were released on I'm not much of a gambler, but it looks like they are betting that Trump will be impeached. Not surprising as even his lawyer admitted that they are trying to avoid impeachment. I wonder what the odds were for Donald Trump to be President of the United States before the election.

I am betting not very good, so much for odds. The odds of a Trump win closed from around 25 to 1 in August when he first announced his campaign, or a return 25 times the initial investment, according to Krishnamurty, down to 6 to 4 ahead of the first presidential debate, and 5 to 1 on Tuesday night. One lucky American collected on the bet to the tune of 2 million plus.

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Donald Trump has really short odds to be impeached in the first six months of his presidency. You can get a price of just 41 for the Republican to be Following Trump’s explosive press conference on Wednesday everyone will be glued to his inauguration speech on January 20 and there’s some fun to be had for anyone who fancies a bet.

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We’ve been betting on impeachment for all recent U.S. Presidents but, even at the height of the Lewinsky scandal, Bill Clinton was only ever 61 to be impeached, he added. Should an impeachment effort clear the House by majority vote, it would then require the backing of two-thirds of the Republican-controlled Senate.

Tesla’s stock spikes above after Bernstein sees no imminent’ negative catalyst. Attorney General Barr has no plans to resign,’ despite reports. If you could buy only one stock for and artificial intelligence exposure, this would be it.

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Bovada sees the odds Trump completes a full term as POTUS at even as well. A bet on a full term in office currently pays off, while a bet that the term is cut short also pays off Trump’s first two months in office has certainly upped the odds of impeachment in the eyes of bookies. Following Election Day in November, Ladbrokes listed the odds that Trump would make it through his first term in office at 31.

While smart money seems to be predicting an early departure for Trump, gamblers aren’t necessarily reliable when it comes to politics. Bookies had Hillary Clinton as the heavy favorite to win the election back in November. Investors certainly don’t seem concerned about potential drama in Washington.

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